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From a diplomatic perspective, the signing of some kind of an agreement is a step forward, but the situation on the ground in Lebanon has shown little sign of shifting, despite several ceasefires.
Israel and Hezbollah have traded cross-border fire, with both accusing each other of violating the agreement, but the intensity has dropped off in recent days.
Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun said the framework was a first step to restoring sovereignty.
But shortly after the signing, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated that Israeli forces would remain in southern Lebanon until Hezbollah disarms. The Israeli army is currently occupying around 5% of the country’s territory.
He said Israel was “allowing the Lebanese army to begin organising to take over some territory” in two pilot zones – one south of the Litani River and another north of it.
Hezbollah is not party to Friday’s agreement, and it is unclear whether it will agree to withdraw its fighters from the South Litani area in southern Lebanon.
Israeli strikes on targets in southern Lebanon have threatened to derail efforts to settle the conflict in the Middle East.
US President Donald Trump on one occasion held a terse phone call with Netanyahu, in which he reportedly uttered an expletive. He also publicly criticized Netanyahu and Israel’s conduct in the conflict.
While Trump has insisted that Israel has a right to defend itself from Hezbollah rocket strikes on its territories, he has also claimed he can “control Israel from attacking Lebanon”.
“They have a lot of respect for me,” Trump told Axios in an interview last week. “They do as I say.”
Lebanon was drawn into the war between the US and Israel against Iran on 2 March, when Hezbollah launched rockets into Israel in retaliation for an Israeli strike that killed Iran’s supreme leader. Israel responded with an air campaign across Lebanon and a ground invasion in the south.
A US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon on 16 April failed to stop the fighting.
Israel and Lebanon agreed in June to renew their fragile ceasefire, and the US said it would help guide the creation of “pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors”.
Earlier on Friday, Trump accused Iran of a “foolish violation” of the truce after a cargo ship passing through the Strait of Hormuz was attacked. Iran has not issued any official response.
In response, US Central Command said later on Friday it had struck missile and drone storage facilities and coastal radar positions.
There has been no comment yet from Iran.
Additional reporting by Tom McArthur
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